Prediction and prevention of viral resistance
The prediction of viral resistance before commencement of therapy or early in therapy can avoid subsequent problems in managing these treatment-related viral breakthroughs due to resistance and related relapse of liver disease. Exploratory regression analyses have demonstrated that the high baseline liver histologic activity index (HAI) score was significantly associated with YMDD mutant detection at the end of first year of therapy in the Asian Lamivudine Study. In the following years, other analyses showed that high baseline body weight, body mass index, and high baseline HBV-DNA levels and serum HBV-DNA detectable by PCR assays at 24 months of lamivudine therapy are predictive of YMDD mutant emergence. A recent study showed serum HBV-DNA levels at week 4 and prolonged baseline prothrombin time were independent factors associated with virological breakthrough.[47,48] Prevention of treatment related viral resistance may best be undertaken by using NAs with minimal risk of viral resistance such as entecavir or tenofovir, as the first line antiviral therapy. However, because of the relatively high cost of these NAs, many countries especially the developing Asian countries and regions still use NAs with relatively high resistance profile as first-line therapy and add on rescue treatment when viral breakthrough occurs. However, patient populations resorting to cheaper NAs are the very same that have few resources to appropriate serum HBV-DNA monitor or rescue therapy. The concept of “roadmap” guide to therapy according to the HBV DNA response and the possibility of resistance emergence is difficult to implement in many clinical practices in regions endemic for HBV infection. By starting therapy with agents with low resistance profile, the therapeutic path will be much more straightforward and the goal of therapy achieved in a cost effective manner. De novo combination therapy with 2 potent nucleoside and nucleotide drugs with different resistance profiles is also being explored but is not likely to be cost-effective. Combination therapy with two NAs without crossresistance is theoretically sound, but preliminary results showed reduction, not elimination, of resistance emergence and this is probably not a cost effective concept either.[49,50,51]
The public health impact of viral resistance
The availability of lamivudine therapy in areas endemic for HBV infection in the past decade have benefited a substantial number of CHB patients and facilitated active research and advances in the management CHB. Due to the unfortunate high resistance emergence rate in lamivudine therapy, a subpopulation of CHB patients infected with lamivudine resistant mutants has emerged and this poses a global public health burden and risk. The additional rescue therapy imposes higher health expenditure. Inadequate management facilitates the emergence of further multiple-drug resistance.
Mutations associated with resistance to NAs may affect other HBV viral antigens. Mutations-altered HBsAg selected during antiviral treatment have been characterised. The mutants are transmissible and may escape immunity induced by conventional HBV vaccination. The public health implications may be significant and demand close surveillance and investigation.[52]
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